TLDR
- ADA is trading around $0.158, down over 14% in the past week
- Whales holding 100K–100M ADA have accumulated 320 million tokens since July 7
- Key stakeholder holdings are at their highest level since February 2023
- Derivatives data shows bearish sentiment with negative funding rates and low long-to-short ratio
- Bulls need ADA to reclaim $0.18–$0.20 for a recovery to gain traction
Cardano (ADA) is trading near $0.158 on Monday, extending losses after a drop of more than 14% the previous week. The price is sitting below all major moving averages, and short-term momentum remains weak.
Despite the price slide, large wallet holders are stepping in. Santiment data shows that wallets holding between 100,000 and 100 million ADA have accumulated 320 million tokens since July 7. Total key stakeholder holdings now sit above 25.6 billion ADA — the highest level since February 2023.
Retail is moving in the opposite direction. Wallets holding fewer than 100 ADA have shed around 0.7% of their holdings over the past four months.
Santiment’s account on X noted the contrast directly: “Strong hands are adding while the chart still looks uncomfortable.” The analyst highlighted that whale and shark wallets are absorbing supply while retail loses patience, calling it one of the healthier setups ADA has shown all year. Santiment also pointed to active development catalysts including Leios testnet work, Hydra scaling upgrades, and Mithril progress.
✍️ TL;DR: Cardano’s key stakeholder holdings reach a 3.5 year high
📊 Metrics Used: Supply Distribution
🔗 Live Chart: https://t.co/9lzM6kxdcb🦈 Cardano’s 100K to 100M ADA wallets now hold more than 25.6B coins, their highest level since February, 2023.
📉 Retail is doing the… pic.twitter.com/7iHLl5xyHT
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) July 13, 2026
Derivatives Paint a Bearish Picture
ADA’s futures Open Interest has dropped to $385 million, continuing a steady decline. The OI-Weighted Funding Rate flipped negative on Friday and reads -0.0028% on Monday, meaning shorts are paying longs — a sign of bearish positioning.
The long-to-short ratio sits at 0.79, near its lowest level in over a month. A reading below 1.0 means more traders are betting on price to fall than rise.
The RSI is hovering near 42, and the MACD is fading toward the zero line. The 50-day EMA at $0.181, 100-day EMA near $0.211, and 200-day EMA at $0.280 all sit overhead as resistance.
Key Levels Traders Are Watching
Cardano is consolidating near $0.16, which traders are treating as short-term support. If this level holds, the first recovery targets are $0.17 and $0.18. A move above $0.20 is seen as the stronger confirmation that buyers are taking back control.
On the downside, $0.150 is the next support floor. If that breaks, the $0.13–$0.14 zone comes into focus as a deeper accumulation area.
Some chart analysts see ADA correcting inside a falling channel that could act as a reset before another breakout attempt. A breakout above the channel puts $0.18 and then $0.20 back in play.
The $6.8 billion market cap level is also being watched. Reclaiming that zone is seen as a key trigger for a broader recovery.
ADA’s key stakeholder holdings remain at a 3.5-year high as of July 14, 2026.
