TLDR
- Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin could hit $150K by 2025 due to Fed easing policies.
- He expects more liquidity from the Fed to boost Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana prices.
- Bitcoin broke $99K as markets react to Trump tax cuts and Fed rate pause.
- Analysts warn of short-term volatility, but long-term sentiment for crypto remains bullish overall.
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin could soar to $150,000 by the end of 2025. Speaking at the recent Token2049 conference, Hayes tied his projection to a significant shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy, which he believes will trigger a massive liquidity wave across financial markets.
Why Bitcoin Could Surge to $150,000
According to Hayes, the U.S. central bank is likely to continue loosening monetary conditions in the coming months. He cited rising geopolitical uncertainty, sluggish economic indicators, and increasing pressure from political leaders as reasons the Fed may be forced to inject more liquidity into the financial system — a move historically favorable for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
“We’re entering a perfect storm for a Bitcoin rally,” Hayes told conference attendees. “The macroeconomic environment is pushing the Fed towards more dovish policies, and that means more dollars entering the system. That’s fuel for Bitcoin.”
He draws parallels to previous cycles, notably Q3 2022 and early 2025, when expansive monetary measures boosted digital asset markets following periods of turbulence. Hayes believes a similar scenario is unfolding now, especially as inflation concerns give way to fears of stagnation and declining consumer demand.
Let's dance degens to $BTC hitting $150,000 by month end.
Register Here: https://t.co/ROAXITROeX pic.twitter.com/6ev1mVKyZa
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) May 8, 2025
Beyond Bitcoin, Hayes expects other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana to follow the leading digital asset’s upward trajectory.
“It’s not just about Bitcoin anymore,” he said. “Once the money printer turns on, everything from ETH to SOL benefits.”
His comments come as Bitcoin briefly surged past the $100,000 mark on May 8, setting 10-week high amid renewed optimism. The rally was further fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping tax cuts and hints at a major international trade deal. Those developments, coupled with the Fed’s recent decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.5%, have been interpreted by many as signs of a more accommodative economic stance ahead of the 2026 election cycle.
Earlier this month, Hayes had reiterated his even more extreme long-term projection noting that Bitcoin could eventually hit $1 million by 2028. That forecast, he said, hinges on the belief that the U.S. government will continue expanding the money supply to stabilize debt markets and prevent economic collapse.
Caution from Analysts
That said, while Hayes’ outlook has drawn enthusiasm from crypto bulls, some market analysts urge caution. On-chain data from analytics platform CryptoQuant indicates that Bitcoin has entered a “caution zone,” with realized profits reaching historically high levels. Although the metrics don’t yet suggest a market top, they do point to potential short-term volatility.
“Investors are taking profits, which is typical for late-stage bull markets,” CryptoQuant analysts noted. “But unless we see a drastic surge in realized losses, this isn’t necessarily bearish — it just means we should expect a choppier path upward.”
Despite the warnings, market sentiment remains upbeat. Institutional interest is growing, macroeconomic conditions are shifting, and policymakers appear increasingly receptive to asset price stability as a political priority.
At press time, BTC was trading at $99,873, reflecting a 3.76% surge in the past 24 hours.
