- Kerrisdale Capital opens short position on BitMine as its premium to NAV drops.
- BitMine has raised over $10B in stock but faces declining investor interest.
- The company’s ETH-per-share growth rate has slowed despite major acquisitions.
- Technical analysis predicts potential retest of $56 support for BMNR stock.
BitMine Technologies (BMNR) stock has come under scrutiny as short-sellers, led by Kerrisdale Capital, question its valuation and fundraising approach. After an impressive 17,000% rally in 2025, concerns are growing about the company’s ability to sustain its growth. Kerrisdale Capital’s recent report highlights a sharp decline in BitMine’s premium to NAV, suggesting that the firm’s aggressive strategy may no longer be as effective as it once seemed.
Short-Seller’s Position on BMNR Stock
Kerrisdale Capital has raised concerns about BitMine Technologies, particularly its massive equity issuance and the diminishing effectiveness of its fundraising model. The short-selling firm recently announced its position on BMNR, emphasizing that the company’s premium to NAV has significantly dropped. Kerrisdale argues that the company’s approach, which includes issuing billions in stock and acquiring large amounts of Ethereum (ETH), is no longer achieving the same results.
BitMine Technologies has rapidly increased its Ethereum holdings, now acquiring a total of 2.83 million ETH. However, this aggressive accumulation strategy appears to have lost investor appeal, with shares seeing slower growth in Ethereum per share.
While the company surpassed giants like Tesla and Apple in trading volume earlier in the year, the enthusiasm that once fueled its expansion seems to have waned. Kerrisdale’s analysts pointed out that the premium to NAV, which stood above 2x in August, has dropped to around 1.2x.
Declining Premium and Loss of Investor Interest
As of October 9, BMNR stock experienced a 3% drop during the pre-market session, reflecting growing skepticism in the market. The company’s fundraising model, heavily reliant on stock issuance and its Ethereum holdings, has shown signs of strain. Despite raising over $10 billion in equity since June 2025, investor interest in BitMine has started to fade, which has contributed to the decline in its NAV premium.
The firm’s focus on Ethereum may be facing challenges, especially with the reduced growth rate in ETH-per-share. Earlier, BitMine had used its large stock offerings to drive its share price higher, following a model similar to that of MicroStrategy.
However, the enthusiasm that once fueled the rapid expansion of the firm is no longer as strong, according to Kerrisdale’s report. Furthermore, since August 25, the company has stopped providing regular updates on share counts and NAV-per-share figures, adding to transparency concerns.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
Despite the short-term weakness identified by Kerrisdale, technical analysis from crypto expert Donald Dean suggests that the BMNR stock may find support at the $56 level. The stock has been showing signs of minor weakness on the 4-hour chart, with Dean forecasting a potential retest of the Fibonacci support level. If the stock price holds steady in the $56 range, it could present a favorable buying opportunity for investors.
On the other hand, some market analysts remain optimistic about BMNR’s future performance. Mike Investing, for example, believes that the stock is in a consolidation phase and could soon see a major breakout.
According to his analysis, BMNR’s stock price has been consolidating in a tight wedge pattern for the past three months. If this pattern holds, a breakout could push the stock price to as high as $110 by November. For investors who can tolerate short-term volatility, the price under $60 could offer an attractive entry point.
Fundraising Model Faces Scrutiny
The core of Kerrisdale’s criticism lies in BitMine’s fundraising strategy, which has involved issuing substantial amounts of stock in a short period. While this method helped the company expand its ETH holdings significantly, the diminishing returns on this approach suggest that it may not be sustainable in the long run.
Furthermore, the company’s decision to withhold regular updates on its share count and NAV figures has raised questions about its transparency and future growth prospects.
As BitMine Technologies navigates these challenges, market participants will be closely watching how it adapts its strategy in the coming months. While some believe that the company could still see growth, the increasing scrutiny and declining premium may signal that the firm needs to reconsider its current approach.
