TLDR
- Cardano (ADA) has dropped over 80% from its December 2024 peak of $1.32, currently trading around $0.26-$0.33
- Analyst Crypto Jebb sees current prices as a buying opportunity with risk-to-reward ratios above 8:1, targeting $1.50-$2.00
- Technical indicators show ADA is oversold with RSI at 28, and the coin sits 90% below its all-time high
- CME launched ADA futures this week, and Midnight zero-knowledge sidechain is set to launch in February or March
- Developers are working on Leios upgrade and Pentad program to attract oracles, stablecoins, and analytics tools
Cardano has fallen to its lowest level since October 2023. The layer-1 blockchain token now trades around $0.26, down more than 80% from its December 2024 high near $1.32.
The decline has pushed ADA roughly 90% below its all-time high of $3 reached in 2021. Despite the sharp drop, some analysts believe current prices present a buying opportunity.
Crypto Jebb, a YouTuber with a large following, argues the current level offers an attractive entry point. He points to technical patterns showing ADA has historically spent long periods consolidating before large rebounds.
Weekly charts reveal the token has reached oversold territory. The Relative Strength Index sits at 28, below the typical oversold threshold of 30.
Sad but true 😢 $ADA pic.twitter.com/ahjlLNH6KR
— TapTools (@TapTools) February 9, 2026
The Stochastic Oscillator has also dropped into oversold territory. These readings suggest selling pressure may be easing after the extended decline.
Technical Setup Points to Potential Reversal
The price has fallen to a key support level at $0.2212, which marks the neckline of a head-and-shoulders pattern. This zone has held during previous cycles.
$ADA performed well in the last bull run, running up over 17,400%.
In this bull run, we hit a high of over 500%.
Can alts catch up in this part of the cycle, or are we waiting for the next run? pic.twitter.com/jCYSM9G1Dm
— Hardy (@Degen_Hardy) February 10, 2026
ADA has also dropped below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average. This indicates bears remain in control of the short-term trend.
However, the oversold conditions and support level have caught the attention of traders looking for reversal signals. Crypto Jebb calculates risk-to-reward ratios above 8:1 from current prices.
His price targets range from $1.50 to near $2.00 over the next 12 to 24 months. From recent levels near $0.33, these targets would represent gains exceeding 300%.
The trade relies heavily on chart patterns. Fresh on-chain growth or developer activity data supporting a major rally remains limited.
Recent Developments and Network Upgrades
CME launched ADA futures contracts this week. The product makes Cardano available to American retail and institutional investors through regulated channels.
LATEST: 📊 CME Group plans to launch regulated futures contracts for Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar on Feb. 9, expanding its crypto derivatives lineup beyond Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana. pic.twitter.com/ZjDeAWy9xg
— CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) January 16, 2026
The Midnight zero-knowledge sidechain is scheduled to launch later in February or March. The testnet has processed over 185,000 blocks and 295 million slots.
NIGHT, the native token for Midnight, has reached a market capitalization above $800 million. Developers are also working on the Leios upgrade to increase network speed.
The Pentad program aims to bring oracle networks, tier-1 stablecoins like USDT and USDC, and analytics tools to Cardano. Pyth Network and Dune have already joined the ecosystem.
ADA’s weakness against Bitcoin has reached historic lows. This level has preceded large runs in prior cycles when capital rotated back into altcoins.
The current market capitalization stands at $9.4 billion. Position sizing and clear stop levels remain important for anyone considering an entry at these prices.
