TLDR
- ADA has jumped approximately 18.8% in four days, from $0.51 to around $0.61
- Price bounce coincides with Trump’s 90-day tariff delay for 75+ countries
- Technical analysis shows potential breakout from a falling wedge pattern
- Resistance cluster around $0.70 (50, 100, and 200-day EMAs) presents next major hurdle
- Previous similar bounce resulted in a 53%+ rally, suggesting potential for 70% upside
Cardano’s native cryptocurrency ADA has shown signs of recovery in early April trading, bouncing back from recent lows despite remaining in a broader downtrend.
The price action comes as markets digest recent trade policy developments from the Trump administration and navigate an uncertain macroeconomic landscape.
The cryptocurrency was trading around $0.62 as of Friday, representing a significant recovery of over 20% from its earlier weekly lows. However, the price remains below its late March highs and major moving averages, suggesting bears still maintain some control over the market.
The second week of April has brought some relief to cryptocurrency markets. With Bitcoin holding steady around $75,000, altcoins including Cardano have found room to recover from recent selloffs.
ADA has climbed from a low of $0.51 to approximately $0.61 over a four-day period, marking an 18.8% increase. This bounce coincides with the support level of a falling channel pattern that has contained price action since December 2024.
Trump’s Trade Policies Influence Market Sentiment
A key catalyst for the recent price movement appears to be President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 90-day delay on retaliatory trade measures for more than 75 countries. The decision to postpone these tariffs has eased global trade tensions and provided a more favorable environment for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
It’s worth noting that this delay does not include China, and economic measures between the US and China have continued to escalate throughout the week. However, the willingness to negotiate with other nations has been interpreted as a positive sign by markets.
The price bounce also came after positive US Consumer Price Index data, which showed core inflation falling below 3.0% for the first time since March 2021. This easing of inflation concerns has contributed to the improved market sentiment.
Technical Analysis Suggests Potential Upside
From a technical perspective, Cardano’s price action shows several encouraging signs for bulls. The cryptocurrency has reached its most oversold levels in over a month before the recent bounce, suggesting Monday’s price bottom around $0.50 could form a local low.
Cardano $ADA is approaching a major level of resistance at $0.65
Failure to break above, could see a push down to the key support level at $0.46 pic.twitter.com/Voo1BZz6V5
— Trader Edge (@Pro_Trader_Edge) April 11, 2025
The price is currently testing a breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a formation that often precedes bullish reversals. Additionally, technical analysts have noted a bullish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), with the indicator forming higher lows while the price made lower lows—typically a sign of weakening downside momentum.
If the near-term downtrend breaks, ADA could rally toward its 200-day moving average, currently positioned around $0.74. This target would represent another 18% gain from current levels.
Resistance Levels and Potential Targets
Before bulls can declare victory, Cardano faces significant resistance. A cluster of exponential moving averages (50, 100, and 200-day) around the $0.70 level creates a formidable barrier that buyers must overcome.
Historical patterns provide some basis for optimism. The last time ADA bounced from a similar support level, it rallied more than 53%, reaching just over $1.00. If this pattern repeats, traders could be looking at a potential 70% rally from current levels.
However, persistent selling pressure at $0.70 could force a period of consolidation as the market builds momentum for another attempt at higher levels.
Investment Perspective Amid Macro Uncertainty
While short-term technical signals appear favorable, broader macroeconomic concerns remain. President Trump’s policies, though popular in some quarters, have increased economic uncertainty. Trade tensions continue to impact business sentiment, and fiscal policy changes have reduced economic stimulus.
These factors have raised concerns about a potential US recession later this year, which could put renewed pressure on risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
For short-term traders, the current setup suggests caution. While the oversold bounce appears legitimate, the resistance ahead is substantial, and macro risks remain elevated.
For long-term investors, however, current price levels may present an opportunity. On Thursday, Trump signed legislation overturning the controversial “DeFi broker rule,” which is viewed as favorable for the growth of decentralized finance and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.
The combination of technical support and pro-crypto regulatory developments might make current price levels attractive for those with extended time horizons, despite short-term uncertainties.
As ADA approaches the critical $0.70 resistance zone, market participants will be watching closely to see if bulls can maintain momentum and push through this key level. A decisive break above could target the psychologically important $1.00 mark, while failure could result in renewed consolidation.
