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    CME XRP Futures Hit Record High as ETF Approval Odds Rise to 78%

    XRP futures hit record highs on CME as institutional interest grows and ETF approval odds reach 78%.
    Trader EdgeBy Trader EdgeAugust 22, 20253 Mins Read

    TLDR

    • CME Group’s XRP futures hit all-time high open interest with over 6,000 contracts on August 18, marking record institutional trading activity
    • Total notional volume reached $9.02 billion over three months with average daily volume of $143.2 million
    • Polymarket traders now place 78% odds on XRP ETF approval by end of 2025, up from recent lows below 70%
    • Global XRP derivatives holdings total $7.5 billion with options trading volume up 32% and open interest rising 45%
    • Companies are reportedly adding XRP to corporate treasuries as institutional adoption grows beyond payments use cases

    CME Group’s XRP futures contracts reached all-time highs in open interest and trading volume. The milestone came on August 18 with over 6,000 contracts in open interest.

    The surge happened exactly one year after CME launched XRP futures trading. Over the past three months, traders exchanged more than 251,000 contracts worth $9.02 billion in notional value.

    A new record for XRP futures! 📈

    They hit an all-time high in open interest with 6K+ contracts on August 18, right as their anniversary approaches.

    It's a clear sign of growing conviction in the market. ➡️ https://t.co/8nheY8T9FP pic.twitter.com/K6oEPFFzyc

    — CME Group (@CMEGroup) August 21, 2025

    Average daily volume reached $143.2 million during this period. The trading activity represents approximately 12 million XRP tokens in equivalent value.

    The record numbers show growing institutional interest in regulated XRP exposure. Professional traders use futures contracts to hedge against price changes or make directional bets without owning the actual cryptocurrency.

    Rising open interest typically indicates new money flowing into positions rather than short-term trading. Market analysts view sustained open interest growth as a sign of increased investor confidence.

    Growing ETF Approval Expectations

    Prediction market traders on Polymarket now place 78% odds on XRP ETF approval before 2025 ends. The probability jumped seven percentage points in recent weeks from earlier lows.



    an image of Polymarket chart showing a 78% chance of XRP ETF approval in 2025.
    Source: Polymarket

    The prediction market has attracted over $144,000 in trading volume. This makes it one of the more active cryptocurrency-related betting contracts on the platform.

    Odds dropped below 70% in early August before buyers pushed them back up. The price swings show traders are closely watching regulatory developments around XRP.

    ETF approval would allow traditional investors to buy XRP through regulated investment products. Similar approvals for Bitcoin ETFs drove institutional adoption earlier this year.

    Global Derivatives Activity Shows Bullish Sentiment

    XRP derivatives trading extends beyond CME to global exchanges. Total derivatives volume across all platforms reached $7.52 billion according to Coinglass data.

    Open interest across all exchanges stands at $7.50 billion. While this represents a 27% decrease from previous peaks, the levels remain strong compared to historical averages.

    Options trading activity increased 32% with volume hitting $3,730. Open interest in options contracts surged nearly 45% to 982,000 contracts.

    Corporate Treasury Adoption Drives Institutional Interest

    Companies are adding XRP to their corporate treasuries alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. This trend mirrors earlier corporate adoption strategies for digital assets.

    Firms view XRP as both a payment solution and treasury diversification tool. The dual utility makes it attractive for companies seeking fast cross-border transfers and alternative reserve assets.

    XRP’s legal clarity following recent court decisions helps institutional adoption. Companies feel more confident holding assets without regulatory uncertainty.

    The combination of futures growth, ETF speculation, and corporate adoption signals broader institutional acceptance. Trading data shows professional investors are taking longer-term positions rather than making short-term speculative bets.

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