TLDR
- 33.1% of all ETH is now locked in staking, the highest level ever recorded
- ETH exchange reserves have dropped to their lowest point since 2016
- A $1.67 billion ETH withdrawal from OKX was recorded on March 22
- ETH is currently trading near $2,119, with key resistance at $2,356 and $2,500
- Analyst Ali Charts has mapped MVRV support at $1,655 and resistance targets up to $5,624
Ethereum’s available supply is shrinking. Data from multiple sources shows that fewer ETH tokens are sitting on exchanges than at any point in nearly a decade, while staking participation continues to climb.
Approximately 38.1 million ETH is currently locked in staking, according to staking provider Everstake. That equals roughly 33.1% of the total circulating supply — the highest level on record.
The entry queue for new validators holds 2,876,752 ETH, with an estimated wait time of nearly 50 days. The exit queue, by contrast, holds just 40,504 ETH, with a wait time under 17 hours.
That imbalance means supply is flowing in faster than it is flowing out. The churn rate is capped at 256 validators per epoch, which limits how quickly staked ETH can return to market even if sentiment changes.
Exchange Outflows Mount
Exchange balances have also been falling. Analyst Amr Taha flagged a $1.67 billion ETH withdrawal from OKX on March 22. Binance recorded two separate outflows above $300 million in early February.
CryptoQuant data shows ETH supply on exchanges has now fallen to its lowest level since 2016. Binance-specific balances are sitting near their December 2020 lows of roughly 3.3 million ETH.
Everstake stated: “This steady reduction in liquid supply, combined with ongoing demand, creates the conditions for a structurally stronger price environment.”
For Ethereum $ETH, these are the MVRV Pricing Bands that will act as our roadmap:
• $1,655: The most important support level.
• $2,356: The first major resistance to reclaim.
• $2,647 / $3,639: Mid-term breakout targets.
• $4,632 / $5,624: Long-term "expansion" zones. https://t.co/BDiUteQrYS pic.twitter.com/Z18HTPUDkd— Ali Charts (@alicharts) March 23, 2026
Analyst Ali Charts mapped out key MVRV pricing bands for ETH. He identified $1,655 as the most important support level, $2,356 as the first major resistance, mid-term targets at $2,647 and $3,639, and long-term expansion zones at $4,632 and $5,624.
Price Levels in Focus
Ethereum moved back above $2,150 recently, which analyst Ted Pillows identified as a key reclaim level on the daily chart. He noted the move came alongside market reactions to reported ceasefire discussions between the US and Iran.
$ETH has reclaimed the $2,150 level.
There are talks ongoing regarding the US-Iran ceasefire, and Ethereum is reacting to it.
When the US-Iran war started, everyone expected ETH to crash, and it didn't happen.
Now people are expecting a pump after the US-Iran ceasefire, and it… pic.twitter.com/EsrFT7xqYf
— Ted (@TedPillows) March 25, 2026
A chart from analyst Satoshi Flipper outlined a two-step bullish scenario: a first target of $2,500, where ETH would need to break through the upper boundary of a descending channel, followed by $4,750 if a broader trend reversal takes hold.
ETH is currently trading near $2,119. The first resistance level to watch sits at $2,356, per Ali Charts’ MVRV bands.
