TLDR
- US stock futures fell Friday morning with Dow down 0.1%, S&P 500 down 0.2%, and Nasdaq down 0.3% due to tariff uncertainty
- A federal appeals court temporarily paused a ruling that had blocked Trump’s tariffs, giving the court time to review the case
- The Trump administration must file court briefings by June 9 and says it’s prepared to go to the Supreme Court if needed
- Wall Street awaits Friday’s PCE inflation data to see if tariffs are affecting consumer prices
- The S&P 500 gained 9.2% in May, marking its best May performance in 35 years despite recent uncertainty
Stock futures dropped Friday morning as investors grappled with fresh uncertainty around President Trump’s tariff policies. Legal challenges to the trade measures have created a back-and-forth situation that markets are struggling to interpret.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1% in premarket trading. The S&P 500 futures declined 0.2% while Nasdaq 100 contracts also dropped 0.2%. The tech-heavy index showed the steepest losses among the three major benchmarks.
The market volatility stems from ongoing court battles over Trump’s tariff implementation. A trade court initially blocked many of the tariffs earlier this week, ruling them illegal. However, a federal appeals court stepped in Thursday to temporarily pause that ruling.
đ¨ BREAKING: A federal appeals court allows Trumpâs tariffs to stay in effect for now – after a trade court ruled them "unlawful." The legal battle continues, with a possible Supreme Court appeal. pic.twitter.com/e6UGGzYqDZ
— Trader Edge (@Pro_Trader_Edge) May 30, 2025
This pause gives the appeals court time to fully consider the case. The Trump administration now has until June 9 to file its legal briefings defending the tariff policies. The White House has indicated it’s prepared to escalate the matter to the Supreme Court if necessary.
Legal Uncertainty Creates Market Headwinds
The back-and-forth nature of the court decisions has left investors unsure about the future of US trade policy. Just one day after courts halted most of Trump’s recent tariff increases, judges temporarily reinstated the border taxes. This whiplash effect is making it difficult for markets to find clear direction.
The Trump administration is reportedly working on alternative legal pathways to implement tariffs. According to reports, officials are exploring other ways to impose the trade measures without relying on emergency powers. This backup plan would provide options if the current legal appeal fails.
Despite the recent uncertainty, stocks have performed well throughout May. The S&P 500 posted a 9.2% gain for the month, putting it on track for its best May performance in 35 years. The strong monthly showing came despite the tariff-related volatility in recent trading sessions.
Inflation Data Takes Center Stage
Friday’s focus will shift to economic data as investors await the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index for April. This inflation measure serves as the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge for tracking price pressures in the economy. The data could provide clues about whether tariffs are starting to affect consumer prices.
Many analysts don’t expect the tariff impact to show up in April’s data. The timing suggests any price effects from trade measures would more likely appear in subsequent months. However, investors will closely examine the report for any early signs of tariff-related inflation.
The inflation reading could also influence Federal Reserve policy decisions. Lower inflation numbers might give the central bank more room to consider interest rate cuts later this year. Higher readings could limit the Fed’s flexibility on monetary policy.
Treasury yields remained relatively stable Friday morning with the 10-year note holding at 4.43%. The US Dollar Index gained 0.3% as the greenback strengthened against other major currencies. Gold prices dropped as investors sought more certainty around trade policies.
The current tariff situation represents the latest chapter in Trump’s efforts to reshape global trade relationships. The legal challenges highlight the complex process of implementing sweeping trade policy changes through executive action.
