TLDR
- US import prices rose 0.8% MoM and 2.1% YoY in March
- Core import prices increased 0.6% monthly and 3.5% annually
- Imported fuel prices climbed 2.9% despite a sharp gas price drop
- US crude import prices rose 7.8% while Brent surged 45.5%
- Export prices increased 5.6% YoY, the highest since November 2022
US import prices rose sharply in March, signaling renewed inflation pressure as fuel costs increased. The latest data shows both monthly and annual gains, with core prices also trending higher. Energy markets played a key role, while a large gap between global and US oil prices suggests further cost increases may still emerge in coming months.
US Import Prices Rise as Fuel Costs Increase
US import prices recorded a 0.8% increase in March compared to the prior month. This marks one of the largest gains since April 2025. On a yearly basis, prices rose 2.1%, reaching the highest level since December 2024.
Fuel costs contributed to the monthly increase. Imported fuel prices rose 2.9% in March. However, natural gas prices fell sharply by 71.0%, which limited the overall rise. This mix shows uneven energy price movements within the broader category.
BREAKING: US import prices rose +0.8% MoM in March, the 2nd-largest monthly increase since April 2025.
YoY, import prices surged +2.1%, the largest annual increase since December 2024.
This comes as imported fuel prices rose +2.9% MoM, while natural gas prices dropped -71.0%… pic.twitter.com/t3J7spetNg
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 16, 2026
Core import prices, which exclude food and fuel, also moved higher. They increased 0.6% from the previous month and 3.5% from a year earlier. This points to broader pricing pressure beyond energy-related goods.
Oil Price Gap Signals Further Cost Pressure
A notable gap exists between global and US oil price movements. The average price of crude oil imported into the US rose 7.8% in March. In contrast, Brent crude prices increased by 45.5% during the same period.
This difference suggests that global price changes have not fully passed through to US import data. Supply contracts, shipping timing, and pricing structures may explain part of the delay. Still, the gap indicates that additional cost increases could appear in future data releases.
As global oil prices remain elevated, the lag effect may continue. Import price data often reflects earlier contracts rather than current spot prices. This timing difference can delay how energy costs show up in official figures.
Export Prices and Broader Inflation Trends
US export prices also showed strong growth in March. They rose 5.6% compared to the same month last year. This marks the fastest pace since November 2022 and adds to broader pricing trends. The combination of rising import and export prices points to ongoing inflation pressure.
Core import prices rising at a steady pace suggest that cost increases are not limited to energy. Goods across multiple categories are seeing higher prices. Recent tariff changes are not fully reflected in March data. Many supply chains operate with delays, and price adjustments often take time to appear.
This means additional cost pressures could emerge in coming months as new trade measures take effect. The data shows that price increases are building across several areas. Energy costs, core goods, and exports are all moving higher. These trends indicate that inflation pressures are continuing rather than easing.
