TLDR
- XRP has lost nearly 50% of its value since October 2025, dropping from $2.84 to $1.43.
- The RSI for XRP recently hit a 12-year low of 17, signaling extreme oversold conditions.
- Historically, XRP has rebounded by 15-40% after reaching such low RSI levels.
- On February 5, 2026, XRP experienced a 19.6% drop, contributing to the low RSI reading.
- Analysts expect XRP to potentially recover to the $2.2 to $2.5 range based on past patterns.
XRP has experienced a drastic drop in price since the end of 2025, losing nearly 50% of its value. The cryptocurrency is currently trading at $1.43, down from $2.84 in October 2025. Analysts are closely monitoring XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), which recently dipped to extreme lows, suggesting the possibility of a significant price rebound.
XRP Hits Extreme Oversold Levels
The XRP price has been on a downward trajectory since the fourth quarter of 2025. This decline accelerated on February 5, 2026, when the cryptocurrency plunged 19.6% in a single day. As a result, the XRP RSI dropped to 17, its lowest level in 12 years, signaling oversold conditions.
The last time the RSI hit such lows was in 2014. Historically, whenever XRP’s RSI reaches these extreme levels, analysts predict a rebound ranging from 15% to 40%. XRP’s price recovery after such RSI lows has been consistent, with previous instances showing strong rebounds within weeks.
XRP Price Rebounds Following RSI Lows
XRP has followed a similar pattern in the past when the RSI dropped below 30. On October 10, 2025, the RSI hit 26.43, and the XRP price quickly surged 70% to $2.69. A similar rally occurred on July 5, 2024, when XRP recovered 65% after an RSI drop to 26.14, rising from $0.3825 to $0.63.
XRP just hit an RSI of 20 on the daily—the most oversold it's ever been in its history.
Every single time XRP has hit these extreme levels, a 15-40% bounce followed within two weeks. Not sometimes. Every time.
Relief bounce to $2.20-$2.50 is the highest probability setup we've… pic.twitter.com/F8e7WBRbyu
— Ripple Bull Winkle | Crypto Researcher 🚀🚨 (@RipBullWinkle) February 5, 2026
This consistent price action has led market experts to believe that a recovery could be in store for XRP. If the trend holds, XRP could see a price rebound to the $2.2 to $2.5 range. This would represent a potential 40% gain from its current price of $1.43, with the higher target potentially marking a new yearly high.
Analysts Predict a 15-40% Rebound for XRP
Ripple Bull Winkle, a crypto analyst, has pointed out that every time XRP’s RSI dropped to such extreme lows, a 15-40% rebound followed. The most recent crash on February 5, 2026, has led many to believe that a similar recovery is likely. Winkle emphasized that the historical pattern has been reliable, as XRP has consistently bounced back from RSI levels near 17.
The RSI trend and price action suggest that XRP could be nearing the bottom of its current downtrend. If history repeats itself, XRP could soon experience a sharp rebound. However, while the past performance provides some optimism, market conditions remain volatile, and the future remains uncertain.
