TLDR
- TradingView analyst predicts XRP could reach $71, mirroring Bitcoin’s historical price action
- Financial analyst Zach Rector suggests XRP could hit $15 due to ETF inflows using a market cap multiplier model
- XRP price recently spiked 30% after $160 million in exchange outflows
- Teucrium launched the first US-listed XRP ETF, attracting $36 million in five days
- Retail investors now hold 47% of XRP’s market value, potentially creating short-term price fragility
XRP has been the subject of various price predictions from analysts who see parallels with Bitcoin’s historical performance and potential impacts from ETF approvals. Trading around $2.15 at press time, XRP has experienced both gains and volatility, with a recent 30% spike followed by a 2.4% decline on Monday.
TradingView analyst RizeSenpai has drawn attention with a bold prediction that XRP could surge to $71. This forecast is based on comparative analysis between Bitcoin’s breakout from its multi-year accumulation range in 2015-2017 and XRP’s current price structure.
The analyst points out that XRP’s movements since 2014 have closely mirrored Bitcoin’s macro price action but at a slower rate, estimated at 65%. When Bitcoin broke out of its long-term range, it surged toward the 1.618 Fibonacci level before initiating a secondary run to higher levels.
ETF Inflows Could Drive Price Higher
Finance analyst Zach Rector has presented a different model suggesting XRP could reach $15 due to expected ETF inflows. His analysis is based on JPMorgan’s projection that XRP ETFs could attract between $4 billion and $8 billion in their first year.
Using a conservative market cap multiplier of 200x on the lower $4 billion inflow estimate, Rector calculated that XRP’s market cap could swell by $800 billion. This would push the total market cap to $925 billion, resulting in a price of $15 per token with a circulating supply of 60 billion XRP.
$15 XRP With Ease! ✅
Market Cap Multiplier Equation Explained pic.twitter.com/ipbY8oo1L2— Zach Rector (@ZachRector7) April 13, 2025
The ETF landscape for XRP is developing rapidly. Nine firms have filed for spot XRP ETFs with the SEC, including Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and others. The agency has acknowledged these applications, and with Ripple’s legal settlement anticipated in 2025, optimism about approval by year-end has increased.
Teucrium Investment Advisors recently launched the first US-listed XRP exchange-traded fund. The leveraged ETF posted a five-day winning streak, with total flows reaching $36 million. While modest compared to Bitcoin ETFs, it demonstrates investor interest in altcoin ETFs.
Retail Ownership Creates Short-Term Concerns
Despite these positive indicators, XRP faces potential headwinds due to its ownership structure. Retail buyers have increased their share of XRP’s market value to 47% in the last six months, according to Glassnode analysts.
While this retail interest fueled a rally earlier in the year, it may now create fragility as newer buyers with high cost bases may cut their losses during downturns. Options traders are already positioning for a potential price decline, with puts at a strike price of $1.80 drawing heavy action.
Recent data from crypto analytics platform Coinglass shows fresh inflows into crypto exchanges, signaling short-term profit-taking that could pressure XRP’s price. Options traders don’t expect XRP to trade above $2 in April and May.
XRP has underperformed other major cryptocurrencies since President Trump’s inauguration on January 20, falling 36% compared to the average market decline for other major cryptocurrencies.
The cryptocurrency’s recent 30% price spike was fueled by $160 million in net outflows from crypto exchanges. However, this momentum appears to be slowing as other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana are gaining while XRP has started to decline.
XRP remains on edge along with the broader cryptocurrency market as global economic concerns persist. The concentration of ownership in retail hands may create more volatility in the short term as newer investors respond to market fluctuations.
