TLDR
- XRP recorded its 6th-largest exchange outflow day of 2026, with over 34.9 million tokens leaving exchanges
- Price is consolidating between $1.37–$1.45, with $1.60 as the key breakout level
- MACD flipped bullish in mid-April for the first time since January — the last flip led to a 25% rally
- XRP Ledger topped all major blockchains in 30-day net capital inflows at $1.1 billion, beating Ethereum
- SEC and CFTC formally classified XRP as a digital commodity on March 17, 2026
XRP is showing a cluster of bullish on-chain signals, but the price has yet to confirm a breakout. The token has been trading in a tight range for days, with traders watching a handful of key levels closely.
Exchange outflows spiked sharply, with Santiment data showing XRP recorded its 6th-largest outflow day of 2026. Over 34.9 million XRP tokens were pulled off exchanges in a single day. When tokens leave exchanges, they are less likely to be sold immediately, which reduces available supply and can tighten market conditions.
💸 XRP Ledger saw 34.94M $XRP in total exchange outflows, the 6th largest 24-hour period of the year. Historically, these large outflow days have corresponded with upcoming bullish price action.
🔗 Check out XRP outflows here on Santiment any time: https://t.co/WLCy1405T2 pic.twitter.com/nTDT8nDnV3
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) April 24, 2026
Historically, these outflow spikes have appeared near local price bottoms or early trend reversals. That said, outflows alone do not confirm a price move — they are a setup, not a signal.
Analyst Ali Charts shared a broader technical take on social media, noting that a multi-year triangle on XRP points to $0.90 as a potential bear market bottom and $13 as a target for the next bull run. That wide range reflects just how much uncertainty still surrounds the token’s next major move.
A multi-year triangle on $XRP points to $0.90 as a potential bottom for the bear market and $13 as a target for the next bull run. pic.twitter.com/hivhREjZIO
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) April 25, 2026
Price Action and Key Levels
XRP has been grinding between $1.37 and $1.45, with sellers defending the upper end of that range repeatedly. Each pullback has held at a higher low than before — a sign that buyers are stepping in at increasing prices.
On the hourly chart, price has compressed into a triangle formation. Analysts say the measured move from a breakout of this pattern could reach roughly 10%.
The MACD indicator flipped bullish in mid-April, the first such crossover since January. The last time it flipped — in early January — XRP rallied 25% to $2.40 within seven trading days. However, the 50-day moving average still sits below the 200-day, a “death cross” that reflects the broader bearish trend.
A breakout above $1.60 could open the path to $1.76, then $2.13. A failure to hold $1.30–$1.35 support would weaken the setup.
XRP Ledger Leads Blockchain Capital Inflows
New data from RWA.xyz shows the XRP Ledger led all major blockchains in 30-day net capital inflows at approximately $1.1 billion. Ethereum came in second at $879 million, followed by Stellar at $643 million and BNB Chain at $539 million.
🚨XRP Ledger OFFICIALLY PASSES Ethereum In Net Capital Flows — Becoming #1 Over The Last 30 Days 🤯🔥
New data from @RWA_xyz shows over the past 30 days, the $XRP Ledger recorded the HIGHEST net capital inflow of any major blockchain — EXCLUDING stablecoins. 😳
👉 $XRP Ledger:… pic.twitter.com/tvN8anEbxl
— Diana (@InvestWithD) April 24, 2026
By contrast, Solana saw $111 million in outflows during the same period, along with Base (-$101M) and Arbitrum (-$19M).
Around $333 million in U.S. Treasury debt has already been tokenized on the XRP Ledger. Spot XRP ETFs pulled in $55 million during the week ending April 18, the strongest weekly inflow of 2026. Cumulative ETF flows have reached $1.27 billion, with Goldman Sachs holding the largest institutional position among fund providers.
Whale accumulation picked up in mid-April, with large holders buying 360 million XRP tokens over a single week.
On March 17, the SEC and CFTC formally classified XRP as a digital commodity, ending years of legal uncertainty that had kept institutional investors cautious.
