TLDR
- MP Materials posted Q4 EPS of $0.09, beating estimates of $0.08 (and well above the Zacks estimate of $0.04), delivering an earnings surprise of +145.23%
- Revenue came in at $52.69 million, missing the $76.06 million consensus by 11.6%
- The stock rose 2.3% on the news, trading as high as $60.29, and is up about 16.1% year-to-date
- Insiders sold 723,146 shares worth roughly $45.8 million over the past three months, including sales by the CEO and CFO
- Analyst consensus remains “Buy” with an average price target of $78.91
MP Materials (MP) climbed 2.3% on Thursday after the rare earth miner posted better-than-expected earnings for Q4 2025.
MP Materials, $MP, Q4-25.
Inflection quarter.
📊 Adj. EPS: $0.09 🟢
💰 Revenue: $52.69M 🔴
📈 Net Income: $9.43MTurned profitable YoY as PPA income and Magnetics ramp offset lost China concentrate sales.
Is the magnetics scale-up the real unlock? pic.twitter.com/C1fXMVko8Z— EarningsTime (@Earnings_Time) February 26, 2026
The stock hit a session high of $60.29 before settling around $60.00, compared to its prior close of $58.66. Volume came in at roughly 6.55 million, about 23% below its average daily volume.
EPS for the quarter came in at $0.09, topping the general analyst consensus of $0.08 and well above the Zacks estimate of $0.04. That put the earnings surprise at +145.23%, a number that’s hard to ignore.
A year ago, the company posted a loss of $0.12 per share, so the turnaround is worth noting. Over the last four quarters, MP has beaten EPS estimates three times.
The revenue picture was a different story, though. MP brought in $52.69 million for the quarter, missing the consensus of $76.06 million by about 11.6%. That’s also down from $60.99 million in the year-ago quarter.
The company carries a negative net margin of 50.55% and a negative return on equity of 7.69%, reflecting ongoing costs tied to its expansion plans.
Insider Activity
Insiders have been selling. CFO Ryan Corbett sold 38,146 shares at an average price of $60.00 on December 9th, reducing his stake by 19.58%. CEO James Litinsky followed in January, selling 272,600 shares at $64.17 per share, a transaction worth over $17.4 million.
In total, insiders sold 723,146 shares worth approximately $45.8 million over the past three months. Insiders now hold about 9.5% of the company.
Institutional investors, by contrast, have been adding exposure. Corient Private Wealth lifted its position by 404.4% in Q4, and Pacer Advisors increased its stake by 71.7%. Institutional ownership stands at 52.55%.
Analyst Ratings
The analyst community is broadly positive on MP. The average rating from MarketBeat is “Buy,” with a consensus price target of $78.91 — well above current trading levels.
Goldman Sachs initiated coverage in November with a “Buy” rating and a $77.00 price target. Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to “Overweight” in December, raising its target to $71.00. JPMorgan also upgraded to “Overweight” in November, though it trimmed its target slightly to $74.00.
BMO Capital Markets moved from “Market Perform” to “Outperform,” while Wall Street Zen issued the lone downgrade, cutting to “Sell” in November.
Of the analysts tracked, two have a “Strong Buy,” thirteen have a “Buy,” and one has a “Sell.”
MP stock has gained about 16.1% since the start of the year, compared to a 1.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the same period.
The Zacks consensus estimate for the coming quarter stands at $0.07 EPS on revenues of $76.36 million, with full-year 2026 estimates at $0.59 EPS on $418.47 million in revenue.
The stock’s 50-day moving average sits at $59.89, while the 200-day moving average is $64.38. Market cap stands at $10.63 billion.
Considering a new stock? You may want to see what’s on our watchlist first.
Our team at Knockout Stocks follows top-performing analysts and market-moving trends to spot potential winners early. We’ve identified five stocks gaining quiet attention that could be worth watching now. Create your free account to unlock the full report and get ongoing stock insights.Get 3 Free Stock Ebooks
Discover top-performing stocks in AI, Crypto, and Technology with expert analysis.
- Top 10 AI Stocks - Leading AI companies
- Top 10 Crypto Stocks - Blockchain leaders
- Top 10 Tech Stocks - Tech giants
