TLDR
- GM stock is trading around $79.50, up over 40% in five years, fueled by $30 billion in share repurchases
- The company generated $53 billion in free cash flow since 2021 despite tariffs, EV write-offs, and Covid
- Q1 2026 EPS came in at $3.70, crushing the $2.61 analyst estimate
- Analysts carry a consensus “Moderate Buy” with an average price target of $95.65; Citi has a $131 target
- GM and Lockheed Martin announced a new defense manufacturing collaboration this week
General Motors (GM) is trading around $79.50, up more than 40% over the past five years — a feat pulled off largely through aggressive share buybacks rather than a rising market cap.
Since 2021, GM has generated roughly $53 billion in free cash flow. It used around $30 billion of that to retire approximately 500 million of its own shares. The market cap has actually dropped from a peak near $100 billion in late 2021 to about $75 billion today, but the shrinking share count has kept the stock moving higher.
The company posted Q1 2026 earnings of $3.70 per share, well ahead of the $2.61 consensus estimate. Revenue came in at $43.62 billion, just above expectations. Full-year 2026 guidance sits at $10.62 to $12.62 EPS, with analysts forecasting $12.85 for the year.
GM’s free-cash-flow yield sits at around 14%, compared to roughly 3% for the S&P 500. The stock trades at about 6.5 times estimated 2026 earnings. The broader index trades at 22 times.
Analyst Targets and Institutional Buying
Citigroup analyst Mike Ward rates GM a Buy with a $131 price target, implying roughly 55% upside from current levels. He notes that GM’s financial position is stronger than it has been coming out of any prior downturn, and that the company can now break even at much lower sales volumes.
The consensus on Wall Street is “Moderate Buy,” with an average price target of $95.65. Of 23 analysts tracked by MarketBeat, 17 have a Buy rating, four have a Hold, one has a Strong Buy, and one has a Sell.
Institutional interest has been ticking up. Evolve Private Wealth LLC opened a new position worth $13 million in Q4. Multiple other firms including Bogart Wealth, Tsfg LLC, and Sumitomo Life Insurance also added to their positions during the same period. Institutional investors now hold 92.67% of the stock.
2025 operating profit came in at $12.7 billion, down from $14.9 billion in 2024. Automotive free cash flow was $10.6 billion, compared to $14 billion the year prior. Tariffs and sluggish EV demand were the main headwinds.
New Moves in Defense and Energy
GM this week announced a collaboration with Lockheed Martin aimed at boosting defense manufacturing productivity. That’s a new vertical for the automaker.
GM is also shifting unused EV battery capacity toward utility-scale backup power, targeting the AI data center market.
On the buyback front, GM is currently executing a $6 billion repurchase program. It also raised its quarterly dividend to $0.18 per share, up from $0.15. A dividend payment of $0.18 was made on June 18th to shareholders of record as of June 5th. The annualized yield is approximately 0.9%.
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement is up for review in July, which remains a watch item for the sector.
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