TLDR
- Tesla stock climbed 1% to $332 pre-market Monday, extending last week’s nearly 6% gain that snapped a three-week losing streak.
- Retail inflows hit $372 million over five sessions through Wednesday, up from $121 million the prior week, per J.P. Morgan.
- Tesla and SpaceX announced a $16.8 billion investment in Terafab, a semiconductor facility in Texas supporting AI, autonomous vehicles, and Optimus robots.
- Despite revenue beating estimates, Tesla’s Q2 EPS of $0.33 missed the $0.50 consensus; the stock remains down 27% year-to-date.
- Analyst consensus sits at “Hold” with an average price target of $401.74; the stock trades at 194x forward earnings.
Tesla stock was trading up 1% to $332 in pre-market Monday, building on last week’s nearly 6% gain that ended a three-week losing streak.
The stock opened at $328.58, still well below its 50-day moving average of $378.76 and 200-day moving average of $393.46.
Tesla is down 27% for the year through Friday’s close. The 52-week range sits between $297.38 and $498.83, with a market cap of $1.30 trillion.
Retail investors have been piling back in. Net inflows totaled roughly $372 million over the five sessions through Wednesday, up sharply from $121 million the prior week, according to J.P. Morgan data.
Institutional investors own 66.2% of the stock. World Equity Group increased its position by 17.9% in Q2, adding 2,011 shares for a total of 13,237 worth around $5.57 million.
The Terafab announcement gave the stock a fresh talking point. Tesla and SpaceX unveiled an initial $16.8 billion investment in a planned advanced semiconductor facility in Texas, aimed at supporting AI systems, autonomous vehicles, and Optimus robots.
About 25% of Terafab’s compute capacity is expected to go toward Tesla’s projects. The facility is projected to support around 3,000 jobs.
SpaceX also disclosed roughly $295 million in Tesla Megapack purchases during Q2, a boost for Tesla’s energy storage business.
Earnings Miss Weighs on Sentiment
Tesla’s Q2 results, reported July 22, were a mixed bag. Revenue came in at $28.24 billion, beating the $26.42 billion estimate. That’s a 25.5% jump from the same quarter last year.
But EPS landed at $0.33, missing the $0.50 analyst consensus by $0.17. Return on equity was 3.82%, with a net margin of 3.67%.
Analysts now expect full-year EPS of $0.88. At a PE ratio of 304.24, the stock is priced for a lot of growth that hasn’t shown up in earnings yet.
Tesla trades at 194 times expected 2026 earnings, roughly 10 turns above its five-year average.
Analyst Targets and Insider Activity
The analyst consensus rating is “Hold,” with an average price target of $401.74. Canaccord Genuity has a “Buy” with a $410 target. Jefferies and China Renaissance both rate it “Hold,” with targets of $400 and $372 respectively.
CFO Vaibhav Taneja sold 2,606 shares on June 8 at an average of $402.20, totaling just over $1 million. The sale was to cover tax obligations tied to equity award vesting.
Corporate insiders own 19.9% of Tesla stock.
On the competitive front, Ford’s planned sub-$30,000 Fathom electric pickup could pressure Cybertruck pricing. European FSD authorization votes are scheduled for October and November.
The stock’s beta sits at 1.83, and the debt-to-equity ratio is a lean 0.09.
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