TLDR
- Rivian stock dropped 9% in after-hours and pre-market trading after announcing a 75 million share public offering
- The offering is expected to raise approximately $1.5 billion based on the July 6 closing price of $20.14
- Proceeds will fund equity contributions under a U.S. Department of Energy loan agreement
- Q2 revenue guidance of $1.55B–$1.65B came in well above Wall Street’s estimate of $1.45B
- Q2 deliveries of 12,194 beat guidance, and full-year delivery forecast was raised to 65,000–70,000 vehicles
Rivian stock fell 9% in after-hours trading on Monday and continued lower in Tuesday pre-market after the company announced plans to sell 75 million new shares to the public.
Based on Monday’s closing price of $20.14, the offering is expected to raise around $1.5 billion.
Rivian said the funds will be used to meet equity contribution requirements under a loan agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy. Underwriters were also given a 30-day option to purchase an additional 11.25 million shares.
The drop came even though Rivian paired the announcement with an upbeat revenue outlook.
The company guided Q2 revenue of $1.55 billion to $1.65 billion — well ahead of the $1.45 billion Wall Street was expecting, according to LSEG data.
Rivian also estimated it would end the quarter with around $5.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $4.8 billion at the end of Q1.
The core issue for investors is dilution. Adding 75 million new shares to the float reduces the ownership percentage of existing holders. That’s a straightforward math problem, and the market responded accordingly.
The DOE loan deal was announced in April. Rivian secured a $4.5 billion government loan to build and equip its Georgia facility, which will house production of the more affordable R2 SUV. The company plans to start drawing on the loan early next year.
Strong Delivery Numbers Didn’t Cushion the Drop
Last week, Rivian reported Q2 deliveries of 12,194 vehicles — well above its own guidance range of 9,000 to 11,000. That beat pushed the stock up more than 17% going into this week.
The company also lifted its full-year delivery forecast to 65,000–70,000 vehicles, up from the previous range of 62,000–67,000.
Rivian called the timing of the offering deliberate, with a spokesperson telling Reuters the stock’s recent rally made it “the right time for Rivian to secure additional funding.”
Wall Street Is Split on RIVN
The analyst community is divided. Wall Street currently holds a consensus Hold rating on RIVN, made up of eight Buys, five Holds, and four Sells.
The average price target sits at $18.24, which implies roughly 9.5% downside from recent levels.
Rivian is set to report full Q2 financial results on July 30. That report will include a deeper look at margins, operating costs, and progress on the R2 ramp.
The R2 SUV is seen as central to Rivian’s path to profitability, targeting a broader and more price-sensitive market than the R1T and R1S.
Rivian had $4.8 billion in cash at the end of Q1. The projected $5.3 billion at the end of Q2, combined with the $1.5 billion from this offering, gives the company a meaningful liquidity cushion heading into the second half of the year.
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