TLDR
- Billionaire Leo KoGuan bought 1 million NVDA shares and plans to buy more, calling AI “not a bubble”
- KoGuan says he remains mostly invested in Tesla but has been diversifying into NVDA and Treasury bills
- UBS maintained its Buy rating on NVDA with a $245 price target after Q4 earnings beat forecasts
- NVDA reported Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $68 billion, beating estimates by around $2 billion
- UBS projects NVDA quarterly revenue could reach $100 billion, with the order backlog now extending into 2027
Leo KoGuan, the billionaire best known for being one of Tesla’s largest individual shareholders, made a big move this week — dropping into Nvidia in a serious way.
KoGuan posted on X that he bought 1 million NVDA shares and plans to add more. “I am convinced AI is NOT a bubble, it is only the beginning,” he wrote.
He’s been shifting his portfolio over the past few months. Back in November, KoGuan said he was “no longer all-in-Tesla” and had started building a position in 3-month Treasury bills instead.
He still holds a large Tesla position but wouldn’t say exactly how much he’s trimmed it. “I do think Tesla’s energy, cybercap and Teslabot are NOT fully priced in,” he wrote, adding Tesla is “the leading embodied AI on earth.”
That didn’t stop him from taking a fresh look at Nvidia, though.
Strong Earnings, Muted Stock Reaction
Nvidia’s Q4 fiscal 2026 numbers were hard to argue with. Revenue came in at $68 billion, beating average analyst estimates by around $2 billion. Adjusted EPS of $1.62 beat forecasts by $0.08.
Despite that, the stock’s reaction was muted. That disconnect between results and price action is exactly what’s catching the attention of analysts.
Jefferies pointed out that valuations in names like Nvidia and Broadcom have become “disconnected from fundamentals.” Analyst Blayne Curtis called both stocks “the most certain AI winners in our space trading at basement bargain multiples.”
UBS Sees Runway to $100 Billion Quarters
UBS maintained its Buy rating and $245 price target on February 26, citing what it described as the most optimistic demand commentary it had seen from the company.
The firm noted that Nvidia’s purchase obligations for inventory nearly doubled quarter-over-quarter — after already growing more than 60% the quarter before that.
UBS says that inventory build gives Nvidia enough headroom to push quarterly revenue toward $100 billion in coming quarters.
The bank also raised its earnings forecasts, bumping projected EPS for calendar 2027 to around $12.70 and 2028 to $14.80.
Perhaps the most telling detail: Nvidia’s order backlog now runs into 2027, a sign that customer demand isn’t letting up anytime soon.
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