TLDR
- Roblox stock fell 9.4% to $46.67 on June 22, opening at $48.20 after closing at $51.53 the prior session
- Third-party data showed average peak concurrent users dropped 5% year-over-year to 15.3 million for the week of June 15, despite the launch of Grow a Garden 2
- Q1 2026 earnings beat EPS estimates but missed revenue badly — $1.44B vs $1.74B expected — and full-year bookings growth guidance was cut to 8–12% from 22–26%
- Multiple analysts have downgraded or cut price targets, including BTIG, HSBC, Barclays, and DA Davidson; consensus rating is now Hold
- The board approved a $3 billion share repurchase program, while CEO David Baszucki and CAO Amy Rawlings both sold stock in May to cover tax obligations
Roblox stock fell 9.4% on Monday, June 22, hitting $46.67 in morning trading. The stock gapped down at the open, starting the session at $48.20 after closing Friday at $51.53.
The trigger was data from Citi, which flagged third-party platform metrics showing average peak concurrent users of 15.3 million for the week of June 15 — down 5% year-over-year. That decline came despite the release of Grow a Garden 2, which had been expected to lift engagement numbers.
Citi noted the user trends are tracking at the low end of Roblox’s own Q2 2026 guidance. That’s not the kind of floor investors were hoping to see.
The drop added to an already bruised chart. Volume on Monday came in at over 2.6 million, heavier than usual, reflecting broader selling pressure.
Guidance Cut Is Still Weighing on the Stock
Much of the current bearish tone traces back to Roblox’s Q1 2026 earnings on April 30. The company posted a loss of $0.35 per share, beating the $0.41 consensus estimate. But revenue came in at $1.44 billion against expectations of $1.74 billion — a meaningful miss.
More damaging was the guidance revision. Management cut full-year 2026 bookings growth to 8–12%, down from the 22–26% range it had guided just three months earlier. The company pointed to its mandatory age-verification rollout, which restricted chat functionality and slowed new user acquisition.
That single revision shifted analyst sentiment sharply. BTIG cut Roblox from Buy to Neutral. HSBC moved from Buy to Hold with a $46 target. Barclays trimmed its target from $115 to $60. DA Davidson cut its target to $45 from $47.50 on Monday, maintaining a Neutral rating. Needham initiated coverage with a Buy and a $60 target. Wall Street Zen issued a Sell.
The stock now carries a consensus Hold rating and an average price target of $87.07 — well above where it’s trading, but targets have been coming down fast.
Buyback and Insider Sales
In May, Roblox’s board approved a $3 billion share repurchase program, authorizing the buyback of up to 9.5% of outstanding stock through open market purchases.
Around the same time, both CEO David Baszucki and CAO Amy Rawlings sold stock. Baszucki sold 50,628 units at an average of $45.28, totaling roughly $2.29 million. Rawlings sold 2,895 units at $45.24, totaling about $131,000. Both sales were tied to tax withholding on vesting equity awards, per SEC filings.
Over the past quarter, insiders sold a combined 189,449 units worth approximately $9.18 million.
The stock is now trading well below its 52-week high of $150.59 and just above its 52-week low of $40.15. Its 50-day moving average sits at $49.18, and the 200-day is at $63.84.
DA Davidson’s revised $45 target and Neutral rating, issued Monday, reflects the latest analyst read on where Roblox stands.
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