TLDR
- Litecoin ETF decision from SEC expected on May 5, 2025, with 90% approval odds according to analysts
- LTC price trading around $87, breaking out of $65-$85 accumulation range
- Analyst Crypto Patel sets short-term price targets of $255 and $500 for LTC
- Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart notes SEC has not delayed Canary Capital’s LTC ETF decision unlike other crypto ETFs
- LTC holding above key technical support levels, suggesting potential upward movement
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to make its final decision on the Canary Litecoin ETF on May 5, 2025, as LTC price shows strength with daily trading volumes surging 31% to over $338 million.
Bloomberg ETF strategist James Seyffart pointed out that while the SEC has issued delays for other crypto ETFs, it has yet to postpone a decision for the Canary Funds Litecoin ETF.
The @CanaryFunds Litecoin ETF filing is due for a decision (possibly a delay) by Monday 5/5. SEC went early & delayed a bunch of filings but not this. If any asset has a chance of early approval it's Litecoin IMO. Personally think a delay is more likely but def something to watch pic.twitter.com/FilnUcMtUH
— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) May 4, 2025
Market analysts believe Litecoin has better approval odds compared to other altcoins like XRP, Solana, and Cardano due to its unique attributes and regulatory history.
The odds of approval for a Litecoin ETF stand close to 90%, while XRP ETFs show 85% approval chances. Dogecoin and Cardano ETFs display strong potential at 80% and 75% respectively.
Despite these optimistic figures, Seyffart personally expects that a delay remains the most likely outcome and urges market participants to monitor developments closely.
LTC Price
Technical Analysis Shows Bullish Momentum
LTC price appears to be gaining bullish momentum after breaking out from a multi-year resistance line, now trading around $87.
Analyst Crypto Patel stated that LTC has broken out of its accumulation range between $65-$85, setting short-term price targets of $255 and $500.
$LTC MACRO BREAKOUT – NEXT LEG INCOMING?#LITECOIN confirmed a breakout above its multi-year resistance line after holding the Best Accumulation Zone for months!
🔸 Support Held: ~$65
🔸 Accumulation Zone: ~$85-$65
🔸 Short-Term Target: $255/$500
🔸 Long-Term Target:… pic.twitter.com/wrFb0bpqT0— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) May 4, 2025
For long-term holders, Patel forecasts even more ambitious targets between $1,000 to $1,458.
“Despite testing investors’ patience, LTC remains poised for a sharp move,” Patel noted, emphasizing the potential for a dramatic price increase in the current bull market.
The approval of an LTC ETF could serve as a catalyst for this projected rally, potentially pushing prices toward these targets more rapidly.
Multiple ETF Proposals Under Review
Canary Capital’s Litecoin ETF proposal was initially filed on October 15, 2024, as an S-1 registration statement with the SEC.
This was followed by a 19b-4 filing submitted by Nasdaq on January 16, 2025, to advance the regulatory review process.
Other Litecoin ETF proposals currently under consideration include those from Grayscale and CoinShares.
The SEC has until October to decide on all three Litecoin ETF proposals, though the Canary Capital decision comes first.
Bloomberg analysts released their latest approval probability assessment last week, with Litecoin emerging as the strongest contender among altcoins seeking ETF approval.
LTC currently defends critical support levels on the charts, with confluence support around $84 established by the 4-hour 100 and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages.
A break above the 50 EMA and the ascending trendline resistance could clear the path toward the psychological $100 mark.
With LTC holding above all three moving averages (50, 100, and 200 EMAs), technical analysts suggest the path of least resistance remains upward.
Beyond the ETF decision, broader market sentiment will influence Litecoin’s performance this week, particularly with the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.
The current LTC price stands at $86, showing a slight increase during Monday’s Asian trading session while the broader crypto market consolidates following April’s recovery.
