TLDR
- Macroeconomist Lyn Alden says she would bet on Bitcoin outperforming gold over the next two to three years
- Gold hit an all-time high of around $5,608 in January, with sentiment now reading “Greed” at 72/100
- Bitcoin is down 44% from its October all-time high of $126,000, with sentiment at “Extreme Fear” of 18/100
- Ray Dalio recently warned against Bitcoin as a long-term store of value, backing gold as the “most established money”
- CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju noted in October 2025 that Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is growing
Macroeconomist Lyn Alden has said she would back Bitcoin to outperform gold over the next two to three years, citing stretched sentiment around gold and unfairly negative sentiment around Bitcoin.
Speaking on the New Era Finance podcast this week, Alden was direct about her view. “Gun to my head, if I had to say which one I think outperforms, I would say Bitcoin,” she said.
Gold recently hit an all-time high of around $5,608 in January. Alden described the mood around it as “somewhat euphoric,” though she stopped short of calling it a bubble.
The JM Bullion gold Fear and Greed Index backed that up, posting a “Greed” score of 72 out of 100 on Friday.
Bitcoin, by contrast, is sitting in very different territory. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index posted an “Extreme Fear” reading of 18 out of 100 on the same day.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $71,164. That is down 44% from its October all-time high of $126,000, according to CoinMarketCap.
Alden argues that the negative sentiment around Bitcoin is “somewhat unfairly negative,” and that this gap in mood between the two assets is where the opportunity lies.
She described the relationship between Bitcoin and gold as a pendulum. “If gold has gone up as much as it did, the entire diminishing return story per cycle is going to be erased in the coming one, too,” she said.
Ray Dalio Takes The Other Side
Not everyone agrees with Alden’s view. Billionaire investor Ray Dalio warned this week against Bitcoin as a long-term store of value, saying it lacks central bank support and has unresolved concerns around privacy and quantum resistance.
Dalio called gold the “most established money” and pointed out it is the second-largest reserve asset held by central banks globally.
“Gold is not a precious metal that’s speculated on,” Dalio said on Tuesday.
The two assets are frequently compared as alternatives to fiat currencies. But Alden cautioned against reading too much into the relationship. “Gold and Bitcoin can go up together, they can go down together,” she said.
Bitcoin’s Correlation With Gold Is Growing
Despite the debate over which asset wins, their paths are converging in one way. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju noted in October 2025 that Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is increasing as both assets build reputations as hedges against macroeconomic uncertainty.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has predicted Bitcoin will reach $1 million by 2030, citing clearer US regulations as a key driver.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $71,164 as of this week.
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