TLDR
- Standard Chartered initiated coverage on ARB with a $10 price target for end-2030
- That represents a roughly 70-fold increase from ARB’s current price of around $0.13–$0.14
- Robinhood Chain has already pushed Arbitrum’s monthly revenue to 5x its pre-July levels
- Standard Chartered expects ARB to outperform both Bitcoin and Ether through 2030
- Key risks include slower tokenization growth and competition from rival blockchains
Standard Chartered has initiated coverage on Arbitrum’s ARB token with a price target of $10 by the end of 2030. At current prices of around $0.13–$0.14, that would represent a roughly 70-fold increase.
LATEST: 📈 Standard Chartered set a $10 end-2030 target for ARB, about 70x its price at the time, citing a projected $5M monthly Arbitrum revenue run rate after Robinhood Chain's launch. pic.twitter.com/suWD2fhLlA
— CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) September 15, 2026
The bank’s Global Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoff Kendrick, shared the forecast in a note to clients. He said ARB is expected to outperform both Bitcoin and Ether over the same period. Standard Chartered projects Bitcoin at $500,000 and Ether at $40,000 by end-2030.
ARB has already gained 86% over the past month, according to CoinGecko data.
Kendrick laid out a series of interim price targets: $0.50 by end-2026, $1.50 by end-2027, $3.50 by end-2028, and $6.50 by end-2029.
Robinhood Chain Changes the Math
The catalyst behind Standard Chartered’s thesis is Robinhood Chain, launched on July 1, 2026. The online brokerage built its chain using Arbitrum’s technology stack.
Under Arbitrum’s Expansion Program, the network collects a rolling fee equal to 10% of net protocol revenue from external chains built on its infrastructure.
Robinhood Chain’s daily fee revenue averaged $2.8 million in the first two weeks of September. At its current run rate, Arbitrum is on track to earn $5 million in AEP fees in September alone. That is more than five times Arbitrum’s total monthly revenue before Robinhood Chain launched.
Kendrick wrote: “The early success of Robinhood Chain increases the probability that similar TradFi chains will also launch via the Arbitrum tech stack.”
Tokenized Assets Drive the Long-Term Case
Standard Chartered’s broader bullish case rests on the growth of tokenized real-world assets. The bank forecasts that tokenized assets will reach $4 trillion by end-2028, up from roughly $340 billion today. Tokenized equities alone could reach $750 billion over the same period.
Tokenized real-world assets currently have a cumulative value of nearly $39 billion, according to RWA.xyz.
Arbitrum is positioned as infrastructure for traditional financial firms moving assets onchain. Kendrick noted that revenue is becoming a critical factor in how digital assets are valued.
“We see digital assets transitioning from a state where revenue is not yet relevant to one where revenue is critical,” he wrote.
The bank flagged three key risks: slower-than-expected tokenization, competition from other blockchains, and ARB’s lack of direct value accrual. Pending U.S. legislation, including the Clarity Act, and DTCC work on tokenized equities were also cited as factors to watch.
Arbitrum’s monthly revenue currently stands at more than five times its pre-Robinhood Chain level.
