TLDR
- Nvidia stock jumped 3.2% to $183.78 after a U.S.-Iran cease-fire deal sparked a broad market rally
- The two-week deal requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately
- S&P 500 futures rose 2.5% on the news
- Donaldson Capital Management increased its NVDA stake by 5.5% in Q4, holding ~$16.7M worth of stock
- Analysts hold an average “Buy” rating with a consensus price target of $275.25
Nvidia stock got a lift Wednesday morning as news of a two-week U.S.-Iran cease-fire sent markets higher. The chip maker’s stock climbed 3.2% to $183.78 ahead of the opening bell.
The deal between Washington and Tehran halts attacks for two weeks. The key condition: Iran must immediately reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
S&P 500 futures rose 2.5% on the back of the agreement. The news eased geopolitical pressure that had been weighing on tech stocks, including Nvidia.
It’s been a bumpy stretch for NVDA. The stock has a 12-month range of $94.46 to $212.19, and prior headlines had flagged Iran as a direct threat to Nvidia — making Wednesday’s cease-fire bounce particularly pointed.
Nvidia’s 50-day moving average sits at $182.03, and its 200-day at $184.35. The company carries a market cap of $4.33 trillion and a P/E ratio of 36.35.
On the institutional side, Donaldson Capital Management raised its Nvidia position by 5.5% in Q4, adding 4,663 units to hold 89,756 worth roughly $16.74 million. Several other funds also opened or grew positions in recent quarters.
Institutional investors and hedge funds collectively own 65.27% of NVDA stock.
Earnings Hold Strong
Nvidia’s last earnings report, released February 25th, came in ahead of expectations. The company posted $1.62 EPS versus the $1.54 consensus estimate.
Revenue hit $68.13 billion for the quarter, topping estimates of $65.56 billion. That was a 73.2% jump year-over-year.
Net margin came in at 55.60%, with return on equity at 97.37%. Analysts now expect full-year EPS of $2.77.
Nvidia also paid a quarterly dividend of $0.01 per share on April 1st, representing a $0.04 annualized yield.
Insider Selling Continues
Not everyone is loading up. Insiders have sold roughly 1.2 million units worth approximately $216 million over the past 90 days.
Director John Dabiri sold 3,004 units on March 13th at $184.90 each, cutting his position by 16.88%. Director Aarti S. Shah followed with a sale of 19,000 units on March 19th at $176.71 — a 34.54% reduction in her stake.
Insiders now hold 4.17% of the company.
Wall Street, though, remains broadly bullish. Of 53 analysts covering the stock, 47 have a Buy rating, four a Strong Buy, and just two a Hold.
Price targets range widely: Fundamental Research sits at $218, while HSBC has set a $310 target. The consensus lands at $275.25.
Supply chain concerns remain in the background, with some reports flagging potential production cuts tied to memory constraints — a factor worth watching in the coming weeks.
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