TLDR
- Rocket Lab stock jumped over 8% Tuesday, fueled by renewed speculation around a potential SpaceX IPO valued at up to $1.75 trillion
- The company secured a $90 million U.S. Space Force contract to design and build two geostationary satellites — its first move into that orbit segment
- Q1 2026 revenue hit $200.3 million, up 63.5% year over year, with a record backlog of $2.2 billion
- RKLB is up 372% over the past 12 months and trading well above all major moving averages
- The stock sits in technically overbought territory with RSI elevated; key support sits near the 20-day SMA at $104.87
Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) stock was trading up around 5.75% at $143.56 in premarket Tuesday before extending gains to over 8% during the session.
The move came as fresh speculation swirled around a potential SpaceX IPO, reportedly valued at as much as $1.75 trillion and potentially raising up to $75 billion. When SpaceX speculation heats up, it tends to lift the whole sector — and Rocket Lab, as one of the few pure-play public space companies, gets a lot of that spill-over enthusiasm.
But this isn’t just a sympathy trade. Rocket Lab has been doing the actual work.
Earlier this month, the company posted Q1 2026 revenue of $200.3 million — up 63.5% year over year. Its order backlog hit a record $2.2 billion, signaling strong demand for both launch and spacecraft services.
Then last week, Rocket Lab landed a $90 million contract with the U.S. Space Force’s Space Systems Command. The deal covers the design and manufacture of two geostationary satellites — a first for the company in that orbit segment.
Space Force Deal Opens New Market
Geostationary orbit is a higher-stakes, higher-value market. Satellites at that altitude are used for communications, weather monitoring, and military surveillance — and they are considerably more complex and expensive than the small satellites Rocket Lab has historically launched.
This contract pushes the company into what analysts call the “space domain awareness” market, which is growing quickly as government and commercial demand for GEO infrastructure increases.
The win also marks another step in Rocket Lab’s ongoing push to become a fully vertically integrated space company — not just a launch provider, but a builder of complete spacecraft systems.
Technical Picture Stretched but Trending
From a technical standpoint, RKLB has been on an extraordinary run. The stock is up 372% over the past 12 months. It recently broke above its prior 52-week high of $139.76, a level that now acts as support for momentum traders.
RKLB is trading 36.6% above its 20-day moving average and over 113% above its 200-day. That kind of extension is a sign of strong demand, but it can also precede sharp pullbacks if buying pressure fades.
The trend structure remains clearly bullish, with the 20-day above the 50-day above the 200-day — the so-called “stacked” alignment. RSI has entered overbought territory, which typically signals the move is stretched rather than over.
Key support sits at $104.87, aligning with the 20-day SMA. That would be the first pullback zone to watch if buyers take a breather.
For the full year, RKLB is up approximately 94.6%.
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